Weekly Roundup – February 13, 2015

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The Court’s decision on Monday not to block same-sex marriages from proceeding in Alabama has been seen by many as a strong indication of how the court intends to rule on the issue. Even President Obama predicts a Court decision legalizing same-sex marriage.

Alabama Supreme Court Chief Justice Roy S. Moore has wasted no time in defying the federal ruling that struck down the state’s prohibition of same-sex marriage. ISCOTUS director Chris Schmidt looks at other instances of federal court defiance in history, and how such episodes of defiance usually come to a predictable end.

In an interview this week, Justice Ginsburg argued that Americans are ready to accept a Supreme Court ruling legalizing same-sex marriage.

The Court decided not to stay the execution of Missouri inmate Walter Timothy Storey, whose sentence was carried out on Tuesday.

Longtime UNLV basketball coach Jerry Tarkanian died on Wednesday. ISCOTUS Director Schmidt looks at the time Tark the Shark sued the NCAA and made it all the way to the Supreme Court—where he lost.

A familiar face has asked the Court to reexamine the issue of racial preferences in college admissions—Abigail Fisher, who was at the center of Fisher v. Texas, decided in 2013.

Might questions about the whether the plaintiffs in the upcoming Obamacare challenge have standing to sue lead the Supreme Court to dismiss the case?

Tark the Shark at the Supreme Court

Jerry Tarkanian, the controversial and colorful college basketball coach, died on Wednesday. Basketball fans remember Tark the Shark for his four Final Four appearances (including one national championship) and for his distinctive appearance and habits. (The New York Times’ obituary described him as “a baldheaded, sunken-eyed presence on the bench known for nervously chewing on towels during games.”) Constitutional law aficionados remember him for taking his legal battle against the NCAA all the way to the Supreme Court.

Coach Tarkanian was an aggressive recruiter infamous for his atrocious player graduation rates, and the NCAA regularly sanctioned him for violating its rules. “They’ve been my tormentors my whole life,” he once said. “I’ve fought them the whole way. I’ve never backed down. And they never stopped.” One way he fought back was by suing the NCAA for violating his due process rights.

The case that made it to the Supreme Court in 1988, NCAA v. Tarkanian, centered on the question of whether the NCAA, when it enforced its rules against Tarkanian, was a “state actor” for purposes of the Fourteenth Amendment. If so, the organization could be held to account under the Amendment’s due process requirements. If not, the actions of the NCAA, as a private entity, did not have to meet constitutional due process standards. The Nevada Supreme Court had ruled in Tarkanian’s favor, finding that the NCAA was a state actor. The U.S. Supreme Court reversed with a rather unusual 5-4 alignment: Justice Stevens wrote the opinion joined by Chief Justice Rehnquist and Justices Blackmun, Scalia, and Kennedy; Justice White wrote a dissent joined by Justices Brennan, Marshall, and O’Connor. The NCAA, the Court ruled, was not a state actor, and thus Tarkanian could not bring a due process challenge against the organization.

The legal issue was notably a tangled one, even for the chronically tangled area of law known as the state action doctrine. The core complication here was that Tarkanian’s punishment was being administered by his employer, the University of Nevada, Las Vegas, which as a state university was clearly a “state actor” under the Fourteenth Amendment. But the university was only acting under the direction of the NCAA, a private organization of which UNLV, along with hundreds of other state and private universities, was a member. So here we have the unusual situation of a private actor making the rules for a state actor. Although four justices found that the NCAA “acted jointly” with the UNLV and thus should be treated as a state actor, five justices disagreed, concluding that the NCAA’s actions were sufficiently detached from any state involvement so as to remain “private” under the Fourteenth Amendment.

After his loss at the Supreme Court, Tarkanian remained in his job, although he was forced to accept a slew of new sanctions. A few years later, Tark the Shark had another go at the NCAA. This time he won a settlement worth $2.5 million.

Defying the Federal Courts

“Courts are just people. They’re just men and women dressed in black robes who have no power to re-declare, or declare, the social foundation of this nation as being unconstitutional.”

These were the words of Roy S. Moore, chief justice of the Alabama Supreme Court. Moore is a man with a proud history of defying the federal courts. A decade ago he famously refused to remove a monument representing the Ten Commandments from the state courthouse after a federal court ordered him to do so. Today he is making his stand against the growing tide of federal court decisions that have found a constitutional right to same-sex marriage.

Moore was referring specifically to the January 23rd decision of U.S. District Judge Callie V. S. Granade, which struck down Alabama’s prohibition on same-sex marriage. In making this ruling, Moore said, Judge Granade was simply wrong. “Nothing in the United States Constitution grants the federal government the authority to redefine the institution of marriage.”

In Alabama and elsewhere around the country, we are witnessing the endgame of the same-sex marriage campaign. If the Supreme Court issues a ruling in June striking down same-sex marriage bans nationwide, as it is generally expected to do, options for opponents of marriage equality are going to be severely limited. But there is still much that they can and surely will do. “This fight will continue on regardless of which way the Supreme Court rules,” said Brian S. Brown, the president of the National Organization for Marriage, which opposes same-sex marriage.

Supreme Court decisions never truly end constitutional disputes. The pending same-sex marriage decision will be no exception. What kinds of defiance will be available to opponents of same-sex marriage, even if the Supreme Court in June holds that the Constitution includes a right to same-sex marriage?

One of the most common forms of defiance of the Supreme Court is political posturing, i.e., denouncing a Court decision to score some political points. This seems to be the approach Alabama’s governor, Robert Bentley, is taking. When the Supreme Court refused to grant a stay of the district court opinion until the Court decides its own pending same-sex marriage cases, Governor Bentley attacked the Supreme Court’s “cavalier attitude toward the states.” (Here he was just echoing the words of Justice Thomas’s dissent to the refusal to grant the stay. Thomas wrote, “Today’s decision represents yet another example of this Court’s increasingly cavalier attitude toward the States.”)

There is nothing new or all that controversial about campaigning against the Court. Half a century ago, another Alabama governor, segregationist George Wallace, made opposition to the Warren Court a centerpiece of his political career—a career that included several presidential runs. The only people who win before the Supreme Court, Wallace complained on the campaign trail, were “duly and lawfully convicted criminals, communists, atheists and clients of the NAACP.” He also declared the federal courts “the greatest single threat to individual freedom and liberty in the United States today.” More recently, conservative politicians have leveraged the Supreme Court’s Roe v. Wade and Lawrence v. Texas decisions for political advantage. Liberals have sought to do the same (albeit with only limited success thus far) by campaigning against the Court’s Heller gun-rights decision or its Citizens United campaign finance decision.

A more aggressive and controversial posture of defiance is the refusal to follow federal court rulings. This is the approach Judge Moore is attempting to orchestrate in Alabama. He has simultaneously denounced the legal argument of marriage equality proponents and instructed local officials not to issue marriage licenses to gay couples. This kind of defiance might be practiced by political actors—think of George Wallace standing in the schoolhouse door. Or it may be practiced by judicial actors—in 1960, when pressed to desegregate his courtroom, Montgomery municipal court judge Walter B. Jones declared that “the XIV Amendment has no standing whatever in this Court; it is a pariah and an outcast.” This form of direct defiance, whether it be by politicians or judges, gets plenty of attention. It might accrue some short term benefits for resistance efforts. It also risks backfiring, since such open defiance offers an easy target for those who seek to mobilize support for the targeted Court opinion. Regardless of whether it achieves anything, direct defiance generally comes to a predictable end. Wallace stepped aside and the University of Alabama was desegregated; Montgomery courtrooms were eventually desegregated; and there will be gay marriage in Alabama.

Weekly Roundup – February 6, 2015

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If the Supreme Court rules against Obamacare in the law’s second court appearance this spring, problems could arise not just for the President but for some Republican states as well.

In The New York Times, Linda Greenhouse argues that if the justices destroy Obamacare this time, they will be endangering the legitimacy of the Court.

Justice Kagan discussed the Supreme Court bar, whether justices should attend the State of the Union address, and law schools on a recent visit to Northwestern University School of Law.

Justice Scalia is the subject of a new play titled The Originalist, put on by a Washington, D.C.–based theater company.

Speaking to students at Georgetown, Justice Ginsburg named 2010’s Citizen United decision, which has led to an influx in campaign spending by corporations, as the one ruling from the last ten years that she would most like to see overturned.

Following on last week’s decision to stay the execution of three Oklahoma inmates, the Supreme Court this week did the same for Texas inmate Lester Bower, who has been on death row for 30 years.

Bobby Chen, the litigant without lawyer or money who went missing in December, has resurfaced and is attempting to revive his case at the Supreme Court.

On Slate’s new Supreme Court podcast, “Amicus,” Dahlia Lithwick talks with professors Sonja West and RonNell Andersen Jones about the issue of cameras in the courtroom.

Weekly Roundup – January 30, 2015

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Now that the Supreme Court has taken on a same-sex marriage case, the waiting game is on.

Even as the Court seems likely to make a definitive statement on same-sex marriage this year, some state and local governments have doubled-down on efforts to prohibit same-sex marriages.

The Court has halted the execution of three Oklahoma inmates, pending a dispute over lethal injection drugs.

Justice Sotomayor delivered a lively talk to University of Utah students on Wednesday, leaving the stage to join the audience on the floor.

A recent poll reveals that many say they would want Congress or their state to restore health care subsidies if the Supreme Court rules against the Affordable Care Act this spring.

SCOTUSblog previews notable books on the Court set to come out this year.

54 years later, South Carolina has cleared the convictions against the sit-in protesters known as the “Friendship Nine.” ISCOTUS director Chris Schmidt argues that the vision of constitutional development which has made this possible owes to influences that go beyond the Supreme Court.

The Sit-Ins, the Supreme Court, and the Constitution

On Wednesday, a South Carolina court made national news when it vacated the civil rights-era convictions of a group of lunch counter sit-in protesters. The convictions stemmed from a protest in Rock Hill, South Carolina, on January 31, 1961. A group of African American students from Friendship College took seats at a local five-and-dime lunch counter, which had a policy of only allowing whites to be seated at the counter. The manager called the police and the protesters were arrested on trespassing charges. After being convicted in the local court, the judge gave the students a choice of paying a $100 fine or serving a thirty day prison sentence. The group that became known as the “Friendship Nine” chose prison.

(Numerous news accounts erroneously assert that the Friendship Nine initiated the “jail, no bail” strategy in the sit-in movement. This strategy had already been in use since the previous spring.)

On Monday, a lawyer for the Friendship Nine introduced a motion in court that asked for a new trial and acquittal, arguing that the convictions had been “predicated upon values and beliefs that have since been deemed to violate the fundamental guarantees of the United States Constitution.”

The motion’s assertion that the convictions “have since been deemed” unconstitutional is not obviously correct, however. The Supreme Court had numerous opportunities in the early 1960s to declare as much, but a majority of the justices never agreed to this conclusion. The Court, that is, never squarely held that a state violated the equal protection clause of the Fourteenth Amendment when it arrested and convicted on trespass charges someone who refused to leave a privately owned public accommodation, such as a drug store lunch counter, because the business had a whites-only service policy.

Between 1961 and 1964, the Supreme Court justices faced round after round of appeals of sit-in protesters who had been convicted on trespass or disorderly conduct charges. The sit-in cases were the great aberration of the Warren Court. At a time when the justices confidently reworked one constitutional doctrine after another, often in response to the moral challenges of the civil rights movement and often in the face of considerable public resistance, they broke pattern in these cases. The Court found ways to side with the students, overturning their convictions on narrow, fact-based grounds, while avoiding the looming constitutional issue. In late 1963, in the case of Bell v. Maryland, when another minimalist opinion appeared impossible, a majority of the Court, led by Justice Hugo Black, was prepared to explicitly reject the students’ constitutional claim and hold that the Constitution did not require racially equal access to public accommodations. This outcome was only averted when, in the spring of 1964, with Congress poised to pass the Civil Rights Act, Justice Black’s majority dissolved, and a fractured Court issued yet another narrow opinion, with no majority to resolve the constitutional question one way or the other.

This is not to say that the motion’s assertion–that the Friendship Nine’s trespassing convictions have been deemed unconstitutional–is wrong. But to defend this assertion requires a broader conception of constitutionalism than the proclamations of the Supreme Court. One might look to Congress and specifically to the Civil Rights Act of 1964 as establishing the unconstitutionality of racial discrimination in public accommodations. With this landmark legislation, Congress prohibited racial discrimination in public accommodations across the nation. Ultimately, the legislative arena proved more receptive than the judiciary to the blend of morality, politics, and constitutional principle that characterized public debate over the sit-ins.

We are used to looking to the judiciary for answers to contested constitutional questions; to look to Congress for this purpose is more unusual, more controversial. But in this particular case it makes sense to do so. At the time of Bell, a majority of the Court was open to the possibility of holding the sit-in convictions a violation of the equal protection clause. The fact that this majority never solidified into an opinion of the Court had more to do with concerns about doctrinal constraints, the institutional competency of the Court, and the impending passage of the Civil Rights Act than with substantive disagreement with the underlying constitutional principle. Although the drafters of the Civil Rights Act ultimately relied on Congress’ Commerce Power as the basis for the law, many executive branch lawyers and members of Congress would have preferred to rest the law on Congress’ authority to enforce the provisions of the Fourteenth Amendment—a path that would have more squarely presented a congressional conclusion that the sit-in prosecutions ran afoul of the Constitution. And, as I have argued at length elsewhere, it is pretty clear that the Court would still have upheld the Civil Rights Act if it were based on the Fourteenth Amendment enforcement power rather than the Commerce Clause.

The Friendship Nine’s claim that their conviction violated the Constitution seems so right and so true today. Yet if we believe it to be so, it is worth considering the vision of constitutional development on which this claim depends. Under this vision, the courts, the traditional focal point for accounts of constitutional disputes, play a central role in this story, but they are ultimately just one actor among many.

The Waiting Game

The big same-sex marriage case. We now know it’s coming (arguments in April). We’re pretty sure we know how it’s going to come out (same-sex marriage bans will fall across the nation). And assuming it comes out the way we think it will, when it comes down, sometime in late June, we know it will be a landmark moment in the history of the Supreme Court and the nation.

So we are engaged in a waiting game, a rather remarkable one, I believe. Waiting around for the Supreme Court is a fact of life. It is a deliberate and deliberative institution, so Court-watchers are often reduced to small talk while waiting for the Court to take a case, to hear arguments in a case, and then to decide a case. But usually waiting on a major ruling from the Supreme Court involves some degree of suspense as to that ruling’s outcome. In the long lead-up to Brown v. Board of Education (it was argued twice before the Court), smart money was on a desegregation ruling, but few were overly confident in that prediction. Recent blockbusters such as the Affordable Care Act case were impossible to predict (after oral arguments, many assuredly announced the Affordable Care Act’s days were numbered). But it is hard to recall a case of the magnitude of the upcoming same-sex marriage case in which there was so little uncertainty as to what the Court was going to do.

One roughly parallel case might be the 1967 decision striking down bans on interracial marriage, Loving v. Virginia—the case the upcoming same-sex marriage ruling will join as an iconic statement on the question of marriage equality.

For over a decade following the 1954 Brown decision, the Court carefully avoided directly confronting the question of whether the so-called antimiscegenation statutes violated the Constitution. The issue, the justices felt, was too emotional, a ruling striking down these laws likely further challenging the Court’s legitimacy at a time when it was having trouble enough getting the South to accept school desegregation. But by late 1966, the Court felt the time was right. The civil rights movement had transformed the nation, affecting attitudes and rewriting laws. The Court had struck down Florida’s law prohibiting cohabitation of interracial couples in 1964. The idea of interracial marriage was still overwhelmingly unpopular, but the belief that such marriages should be prohibited by legal sanction was in decline. (A poll in 1965 found public opinion divided on laws prohibiting interracial marriage.)

In April 1966, when the Virginia Supreme Court rebuffed a challenge to the state’s antimiscegenation law, the path to the Supreme Court was set. “The most explosive issue in American race relations may soon plummet into the chambers of the U.S. Supreme Court,” predicted African American journalist Carl Rowan at the time. Interracial marriage was the “emotional Rubicon over which millions of Americans have not yet crossed,” wrote Rowan.

The following October, looking ahead to the upcoming Supreme Court term, New York Times Court reporter Fred P. Graham wrote that if the Court took the case “it is a foregone conclusion” that they would strike the law down as unconstitutional.

On December 12, 1966, the Supreme Court announced it would hear the challenge to Virginia’s antimiscegenation law. “In accepting the appeal,” reported the New York Times, “the Supreme Court set the stage for a historic ruling on the last vestige of ‘Jim Crow’ legislation to survive in the South—the 17 states banning intermarriage between whites and Negroes.”

Unlike the Court’s decision to take up the gay marriage issue, however, the granting of certiorari in the Loving case was not front-page news (the story could be found on p. 40 of the Times, p. 6 of the Washington Post). News reports identified the case as important, but not necessarily transformative. Commentators portrayed the case as a kind of mopping up operation. After years of “expansive use of judicial power,” explained the Times’ Graham, the Court looked to spend a term “tightening nuts and bolts,” and among the bolts that needed tightening was “administer[ing] the coup de grace” to the last segregation laws.

Although the outcome of the Loving case was as predictable as the outcome of the upcoming same-sex marriage case, most commentators simply did not consider Loving to be as significant as what we expect of the same-sex marriage case. Perhaps there are other parallel cases that come closer, but it seems to me that the Court waiting game we’re playing right now is unique.

Weekly Roundup – January 23, 2015

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After much speculation and urging from both sides in the debate, the Supreme Court agreed last Friday to review a case on same-sex marriage. The Court’s ruling could potentially legalize same-sex marriage in all 50 states.

Now that the Court has moved to address the issue of same-sex marriage, attention is shifting to President Obama’s role regarding the issue. At Politico, Josh Gerstein asks, “will the Court cement the president’s gay rights legacy?

In the New York Times, Linda Greenhouse argues that whatever the Court’s ruling on same-sex marriage, it won’t end the debate for Republicans.

In the Holt v. Hobbs decision on Tuesday, the Court ruled that an Arkansas prison’s ban on growing beards had violated the religious liberty rights of its inmates.

The justices appeared split along ideological lines in Tuesday’s Williams-Yulee v. Florida Bar case, which asks whether states can prohibit personal appeals for campaign contributions by judicial candidates.

The Court also appeared divided over the issue of housing discrimination on Wednesday. But the split was not entirely as expected.

Protesters disrupted Court proceedings on Wednesday, the five-year anniversary of the Court’s controversial decision in Citizens United, which removed limits on campaign contributions by corporations and unions.

Predicting the Winners in TDHCA v. Inclusive Communities Project and Rodriguez v. US

The Supreme Court heard oral argument in two cases on Wednesday. I’m predicting the winners of the Supreme Court cases based on the number of questions asked during oral argument. For more about this method and all of my predictions this Term, click here.

Texas Department of Housing and Community Affairs v. The Inclusive Communities Project, Inc. asks whether disparate-impact claims are cognizable under the Fair Housing Act.

As Figure 1 shows, the overall question count was very close: 44 questions to the Petitioner (Texas Dep’t of Housing) and 46 questions total to the Respondent (Inclusive Communities Project) (22) and the Solicitor General supporting the Respondent.  The question differential may suggest a slight edge to the Petitioner, but with a margin of error, it seems like a toss-up.

Figure 1.

Slide1

The question count by individual Justice suggests alignments along ideological lines, although Justice Scalia’s question count departs from the conservative line.

The question differentials that favor the Petitioner are from Chief Justice Roberts, and Justices Kennedy and Alito, who asked the Respondent’s side (including SG) 10, 2, and 5 more questions respectively.  On the other side, Justices Breyer, Sotomayor, and Kagan asked the Petitioner 3, 5, and 1 more question respectively. Justice Ginsburg asked both sides 4 questions.

That leaves Justice Scalia, who asked the Petitioner 6 more questions than he asked the Respondent’s side.  Unlike the break down for the other conservative Justices, the question disparity suggests a possible leaning toward the Respondent’s side,  Of course, this result would be a quite surprising alignment if Justice Scalia joined the 4 liberal Justices.   But I’ll go with what’s suggested by the numbers and predict a victory for the Respondent, who argued that disparate impact claims are cognizable under the Fair Housing Act.

The second case, Rodriguez v. United States asks whether an officer may extend an already completed traffic stop for a canine sniff without reasonable suspicion or other lawful justification.

As Figure 2 shows, the overall question count favors the Respondent (Solicitor General): the Petitioner (Rodriguez ) received 56 questions, while the Respondent received 48 questions or 8 fewer questions.  The differential is not large, but it suggests a leaning toward the Respondent.

Figure 2.

Slide2

The individual count by Justice also favors the SG.  Only Justices Breyer and Kagan asked the SG more questions.  Based on these numbers, I’ll predict a victory for the SG, who argued “a police officer may conduct a dog sniff during a traffic stop, after issuing a traffic ticket, so long as the detention is not unreasonably prolonged.”

Predicting the Winners in Armstrong v. Exceptional Child Center and Williams-Yulee v. Florida Bar

The Supreme Court heard oral argument in two cases on Tuesday. I’m predicting the winners of the Supreme Court cases based on the number of questions asked during oral argument. For more about this method and all of my predictions this Term, click here.  Both cases are very close calls.

Armstrong v. Exceptional Child Center, Inc. asks whether the Supremacy Clause gives Medicaid providers a private right of action to enforce 42 U.S.C. § 1396a(a)(30)(A) against a state where Congress chose not to create enforceable rights under that statute.

This is a close call, but my prediction is win for the Petitioner (Armstrong).  As Figure 1 shows, the Court asked the Respondent 53 questions, 8 more than the total questions asked of both Petitioner and Solicitor General as amicus supporting the Petitioner.

Figure 1.

Slide1

The question count by Justice suggests a close case, however. The question differentials that favor the Petitioner were from Chief Justice Roberts and Justices Scalia, Alito and Breyer, who asked the Respondent 8, 12, 5, and 3 more questions respectively compared to the Petitioner’s side.  On the other side, Justice Kennedy’s question count favors the Respondent, but he’s less predictable based on his question counts. Kennedy asked 5 questions to the Petitioner’s side but no questions to the Respondent.   Justices Ginsburg (+2), Sotomayor (+10), and Kagan (+3) also asked more questions of the Petitioner’s side.  With a pretty even balance on the counts by individual Justice and Justice Thomas possibly joining the three conservative Justice group that appears to be leaning toward the Petitioner, I’ll stick with the overall question count that favors the Petitioner, who argued that Medicaid providers have no private right of action under the Supremacy Clause in this case.

The second case, Williams-Yulee v. The Florida Bar, asks whether a rule of judicial conduct that prohibits candidates for judicial office from personally soliciting campaign funds violates the First Amendment.

As Figure 2 shows, the total question count was very close: the Petitioner received 45 questions, while the Respondent received 44 questions, by my count.  With a margin of error, it’s basically a tie.

Figure 2.

Slide2

The question count by individual Justice was very similar to the count in the earlier Armstrong case in terms of alignments.  The question differentials that favor the Petitioner were from Chief Justice Roberts and Justices Scalia, Breyer, and Alito, who asked the Respondent 5, 9, 8, and 3 more questions respectively than they asked the Petitioner.   On the other side, the question differentials that favor the Respondent were from Justices Kennedy (+7), Ginsburg (+5), Sotomayor (+2), and Kagan (+7), who asked more questions to the Petitioner (by the amounts indicated).

This is a close case, but I will go with a win for the Petitioner, who argued the Florida’s rule of judicial conduct violates the First Amendment.  Just as in the Armstrong case, I like the strength of the highest question differentials of the Chief and Justice Scalia plus add in Justices Breyer, Alito, and possibly Justice Thomas.  My confidence level is not very high, but I’ll give a slight nod to the Petitioner based on the question count by individual Justice.